2. Liga Round 18

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Union Berlin analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf Union Berlin
68 ELO 71
4.9% Tilt 2.7%
161º General ELO ranking 69º
20º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
41.7%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
25.4%
Draw
32.9%
Union Berlin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.9%
Win probability
Union Berlin
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-8%
+3%
Union Berlin

ELO progression

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Union Berlin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2015
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 - 0
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
37%
27%
36%
68 75 7 0
29 Nov. 2015
FSV
FSV Frankfurt
1 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
48%
26%
26%
67 68 1 +1
20 Nov. 2015
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
55%
24%
21%
67 64 3 0
13 Nov. 2015
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
5 - 0
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
79%
15%
7%
67 48 19 0
09 Nov. 2015
STP
FC St Pauli
4 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
55%
24%
21%
68 72 4 -1

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2015
SCF
SC Freiburg
3 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
65%
20%
15%
70 82 12 0
28 Nov. 2015
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
46%
26%
29%
70 71 1 0
20 Nov. 2015
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
46%
25%
29%
70 72 2 0
07 Nov. 2015
FCU
Union Berlin
3 - 3
Nürnberg
FCN
39%
26%
35%
70 73 3 0
31 Oct. 2015
HEI
Heidenheim
0 - 2
Union Berlin
FCU
48%
25%
28%
69 73 4 +1