Fortaleza vs Universitario Popayán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
MIL
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
FOR
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 1
LEO
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
COR
3 - 2
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 0
BOG
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario Popayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 2
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 0
BAR
37%
29%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 1
UNI
55%
26%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
TFC
2 - 0
UNI
38%
30%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |