Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 3-3
Fortaleza EC vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
4 - 2
BOC
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
ALT
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
CRZ
59%
23%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 2
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 4
CRI
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 1
VAS
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
VAS
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRE
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
VAS
14%
22%
63%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | -1 |