Fortaleza EC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
HOR
1 - 0
FOR
10%
19%
71%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
BAH
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOR
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
UNI
82%
14%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
CEA
7%
17%
76%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
FOZ
0 - 0
CEA
9%
18%
73%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEA
4%
10%
86%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
CEA
3 - 0
GUA
84%
13%
4%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | +1 |