Brasiliense . Semi-finals
Global 2-6
Formosa vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
TAG
15%
19%
66%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
TAG
0 - 1
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 2
BRA
24%
26%
51%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
CEI
1 - 3
FOR
36%
26%
39%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
SOB
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
SOB
0 - 5
GAM
11%
19%
70%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 0
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
LUZ
1 - 5
GAM
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |