Formosa vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
GAM
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUZ
3 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
BRA
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CDF
1 - 1
FOR
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 14 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 1
CDF
77%
17%
7%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
GAM
19%
21%
60%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
50%
25%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |