Formosa vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
CDF
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
TAG
7%
13%
80%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
FOR
23%
22%
56%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 3
FOR
11%
17%
72%
|
41 | 6 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
LUZ
45%
28%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SOB
1 - 0
BRA
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 4
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEI
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |