Forest Green Rovers vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CRE
4 - 3
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAM
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 2
FOR
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 0
OLD
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
STE
1 - 1
EXE
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 3
CRA
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
EXE
2 - 0
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 2
EXE
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |