Follo vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
NYB
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
BOG
4 - 0
FOL
74%
17%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FOL
4 - 0
TRO
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
MJO
0 - 0
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
LOV
3 - 0
MOS
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
MOS
2 - 5
FFK
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
NYB
4 - 2
MOS
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
MOS
2 - 1
BOG
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
STR
2 - 2
MOS
29%
24%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |