Folgore Caratese vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 1
FOL
28%
25%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 0
SER
46%
27%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 4
FOL
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 0
PRO
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SON
1 - 1
FOL
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
INV
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 0
SER
46%
27%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
LEV
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SER
5 - 0
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |