Folgore Caratese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOL
53%
23%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 2
BOR
44%
27%
29%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VER
3 - 0
FOL
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -3 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
GOZ
41%
24%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FOL
3 - 0
LAS
84%
12%
5%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 2
AST
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 0
DER
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SES
1 - 1
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DER
1 - 0
PRO
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DER
0 - 2
SAN
37%
26%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |