Folgore Caratese vs Chiavari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DER
1 - 1
FOL
55%
24%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
LAV
35%
27%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ACQ
0 - 0
FOL
47%
27%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 1
FOL
37%
28%
36%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 3
CHI
41%
25%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chiavari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
PRO
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 0
CHI
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
5 - 1
LAS
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
CHI
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
CHI
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |