Fluminense vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATP
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
6 - 0
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
GAM
1 - 2
FLU
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
FLU
4 - 3
FFL
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
5 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 2
GUA
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 0
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 0
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
CRZ
0 - 2
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAY
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |