FC Flora vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SIR
1 - 1
FLO
22%
20%
58%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 2
FLO
19%
20%
61%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FLO
7 - 0
TRA
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
FLO
10%
14%
76%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
KUR
0 - 4
FLO
7%
12%
81%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
MAA
3 - 1
PAR
49%
21%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 0
PAR
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
FLO
10%
14%
76%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
TUL
71%
17%
13%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MAA
2 - 1
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |