FC Flora vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
2º
1º
49
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
FLO
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
FLO
11%
21%
67%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FLO
2 - 1
PAI
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HJP
2 - 3
FLO
12%
20%
68%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 0
KUR
77%
16%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TAL
1 - 1
KAL
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
3 - 3
PAI
41%
27%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
4 - 3
LEV
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 1
KAL
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KAL
3 - 1
HJP
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |