US Fleury-Merogis vs St Geneviève analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
2º
35
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 0
LUS
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SML
0 - 2
FLE
31%
26%
42%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
BRC
77%
16%
7%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BOB
5 - 0
FLE
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MET
2 - 3
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SML
1 - 4
STG
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STG
1 - 2
BOB
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
STG
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
STG
2 - 1
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
REI
0 - 1
STG
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |