Copa do Brasil Final
Global 3-0
Flamengo vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 4
PAR
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
COR
0 - 2
FLA
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
FLA
2 - 1
PAL
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 0
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 1
VAS
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2006 |
PAL
4 - 2
VAS
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
VAS
2 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
VAS
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAO
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |