Flamengo vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
FLA
2 - 3
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAH
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
PPE
3 - 1
FLA
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
FLA
2 - 3
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ATM
0 - 3
FLA
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 0
COT
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ATP
0 - 1
SAO
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 2
SAO
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAH
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |