Flamengo vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
PPE
1 - 0
FLA
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
FLA
3 - 0
GRE
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 0
FLA
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 0
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
4 - 1
VIT
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 2
SCI
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
FLU
3 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 3
CRI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |