Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 4-1
Flamengo vs Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
77%
|
82 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRE
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
MAC
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 2
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FLA
3 - 1
PFC
88%
10%
2%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
6 - 5
HOR
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 1
ITA
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
2 - 2
ICA
43%
24%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 3
HOR
64%
19%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
HOR
4 - 0
QUI
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |