Copa Libertadores . Last 16
Global 5-1
Flamengo vs Defensa y Justicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 5
FLA
15%
20%
65%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
DYJ
0 - 1
FLA
12%
19%
69%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 1
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLA
29%
23%
47%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
HUR
2 - 1
DYJ
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
DYJ
0 - 1
FLA
12%
19%
69%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 1
IVT
41%
24%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 4
DYJ
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
DYJ
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |