Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
COR
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SCI
2 - 1
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
COT
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 2
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
SCI
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FFL
0 - 1
BOT
36%
29%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |