Velke Hamry vs Varnsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.7%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
82.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.6%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velke Hamry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
FVH
1 - 1
KOL
39%
22%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
STE
3 - 4
FVH
24%
20%
56%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
FVH
3 - 0
TRU
36%
21%
44%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
VYS
2 - 1
FVH
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
FVH
0 - 5
JIS
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
HRA
8 - 0
SLO
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SLO
3 - 3
CHR
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SLO
2 - 2
TRI
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
LIS
2 - 2
SLO
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
OBE
2 - 1
SLO
8%
16%
76%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |