Spartak Varna II vs Dorostol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
8º
6º
31
5º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 67 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 61 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 57 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 57 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 54 |
6º
|
69.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 39 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
63% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
35.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
FSV
0 - 0
CMV
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 1
SVE
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
FSV
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
7 - 0
DOR
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
KUB
0 - 2
FSV
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Dorostol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CMV
2 - 2
DOR
73%
17%
11%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
FCF
41%
23%
36%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 6
LUD
16%
23%
61%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SVE
1 - 1
DOR
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
UST
51%
22%
26%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |