FK Tuzla City vs FK Radnički Lukavac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
15º
7º
7
13º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
RAD
4 - 1
SLO
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
SLO
2 - 1
ZVI
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TRA
1 - 1
SLO
20%
25%
55%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SLO
1 - 1
JED
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ČEL
3 - 0
SLO
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FK Radnički Lukavac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2025 |
RAD
0 - 4
TMS
7%
17%
76%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
GOR
7 - 2
RAD
62%
20%
17%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
GOR
3 - 0
RAD
81%
14%
6%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
RAD
1 - 2
RAD
11%
22%
67%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ZVI
5 - 0
RAD
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |