Fiorentina vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 1
LIV
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
BYM
2 - 1
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 0
FIO
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FIO
0 - 1
ROM
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 2
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
ACM
2 - 3
MUD
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
ACM
3 - 2
UDI
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
22%
24%
53%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACM
1 - 1
LIV
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |