Copa do Brasil . 1/64
Global 3-1
Figueirense vs Plácido de Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 1
FFL
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 0
FFL
7%
17%
76%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 3
FFL
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
JEC
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Plácido de Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 2
PLA
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 0
FFL
7%
17%
76%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
PLA
4 - 0
NAU
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AND
1 - 5
PLA
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 3
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |