Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 0
MAT
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FIA
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
2 - 0
USF
9%
14%
77%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
USV
73%
18%
9%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
FIA
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAT
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 3
FRA
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 0
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 1
FRA
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 1
USV
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |