Ferroviário Nampula vs Costa do Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
COS
1 - 0
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
FER
1 - 2
FER
33%
24%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
FER
2 - 0
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
MAX
1 - 1
FER
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
FER
1 - 4
MAX
48%
24%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Costa do Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
COS
2 - 1
DYN
71%
19%
11%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
DYN
3 - 0
COS
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
AJE
1 - 0
COS
25%
23%
53%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
COS
2 - 0
AJE
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
COS
1 - 0
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |