Ferroviária vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 1
FER
66%
19%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
INT
1 - 2
FER
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
PAL
8%
22%
70%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
FER
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
PPE
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 0
VAS
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AUD
0 - 1
VAS
9%
19%
72%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
BAN
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 0
POR
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |