Ferroviária vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 1
FER
19%
24%
56%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FER
2 - 1
TAU
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TAU
3 - 2
FER
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
BER
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ATI
0 - 0
FER
29%
26%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
ATI
2 - 0
TAU
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ATI
1 - 2
BER
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BER
1 - 0
ATI
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
TAU
0 - 0
ATI
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ATI
0 - 0
FER
29%
26%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |