Ferroviária vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
COR
0 - 0
FER
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
UNI
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
FER
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FER
1 - 1
ESP
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
FER
25%
29%
46%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAO
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
AGU
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
RIO
54%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
AGU
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |