Fernwald vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+159%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
EIW
1 - 0
FER
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
VIK
1 - 1
FER
68%
18%
13%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
FER
1 - 4
KKA
37%
24%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
FRA
2 - 3
FER
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
FER
2 - 0
WEH
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BUC
1 - 2
VIK
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
KKA
3 - 1
BUC
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BUC
1 - 1
FRA
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WEH
1 - 0
BUC
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BUC
2 - 0
BAU
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |