Fermana vs Campobasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 2
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 3
MON
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CIV
3 - 0
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FER
0 - 2
ASD
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
CIV
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAM
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 5
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 2
CAM
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 0
ALF
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |