Fenerbahçe vs Bursaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
FEN
2 - 5
ARS
25%
25%
51%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
KOC
2 - 3
FEN
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FEN
1 - 4
KAY
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
FEN
0 - 0
DYN
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
SIV
2 - 1
FEN
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bursaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BUR
1 - 2
ESK
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
BUR
2 - 1
GAL
22%
26%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
KOC
2 - 3
BUR
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
BUR
3 - 0
BUY
78%
16%
7%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BUR
1 - 0
KAY
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |