Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
TWE
13%
19%
68%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 2
NAC
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 2
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TWE
2 - 0
RJC
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
TWE
18%
22%
60%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 5
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
6 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |