Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
TWE
8 - 0
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
TWE
0 - 1
UTR
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
TWE
2 - 0
SCH
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
RKC
3 - 3
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
TWE
1 - 2
RJC
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 4
UTR
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 5
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AJA
2 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ZWO
0 - 5
AJA
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |