Twente vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
GRA
1 - 6
TWE
19%
27%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
TWE
2 - 0
ZWO
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
MVV
3 - 1
TWE
22%
28%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
TWE
3 - 7
FEY
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 3
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
AJA
5 - 1
ZWO
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
AJA
1 - 1
FEY
62%
19%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 7
AJA
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
AJA
1 - 0
UTR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |