Tsarsko Selo vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
16%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tsarsko Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 0
LUD
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SOZ
2 - 2
FCT
29%
28%
44%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FCT
0 - 1
FKV
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CSK
1 - 2
FCT
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 1
BGA
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NES
0 - 0
SOZ
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FKV
0 - 1
NES
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
NES
0 - 0
CSK
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BGA
1 - 0
NES
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
NES
2 - 0
BVR
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |