Struga vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
2º
1º
38
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
POB
2 - 0
FCS
16%
27%
58%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
RAB
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
FCS
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
SIL
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
AKP
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 3
SIL
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 0
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
PEL
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 3
RAB
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |