Nürnberg vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
DAR
3 - 0
FCN
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
FCN
1 - 0
RBL
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
RTV
1 - 1
FCN
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
FCN
3 - 2
KAI
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
HEI
3 - 0
FCN
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
STP
0 - 3
BVB
6%
13%
81%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
STP
0 - 4
KSC
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
F95
1 - 0
STP
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
STP
3 - 0
FCU
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FSV
3 - 3
STP
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |