Nürnberg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HER
1 - 0
FCN
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 2
FCN
1%
4%
96%
|
75 | 16 | 59 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FCN
1 - 0
VAD
46%
25%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 0
FCN
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
FCN
4 - 1
ROS
89%
9%
2%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
M05
1 - 0
STU
37%
25%
39%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 3
M05
15%
21%
64%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 2
M05
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
M05
0 - 0
ATH
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 0
M05
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |