Nürnberg vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
S04
1 - 0
FCN
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
FCN
3 - 1
MSV
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
STU
1 - 0
FCN
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1966 |
KOL
2 - 1
FCN
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1966 |
FCN
4 - 1
MSV
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
KAI
5 - 2
ROT
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1966 |
MON
1 - 1
KAI
46%
23%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1966 |
KAI
3 - 1
KSC
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1966 |
STU
4 - 1
KAI
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1966 |
KAI
3 - 2
S04
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |