Neftchi vs Alay Osh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
KAG
5 - 2
NEF
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALG
3 - 2
NEF
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NEF
2 - 1
KBA
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
NEF
1 - 2
FTS
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
NEF
1 - 1
FKA
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
FKA
3 - 0
FKA
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
KBA
0 - 0
FKA
9%
15%
76%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
FKA
1 - 0
FKA
47%
21%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FKA
2 - 1
FTS
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
FKA
1 - 1
DBI
42%
22%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |