Lutry vs Thierrens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GUM
4 - 2
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 0
LAC
10%
17%
74%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
FCL
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 2
TPA
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thierrens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LAU
1 - 3
THI
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
THI
1 - 1
POR
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LYS
1 - 1
THI
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
THI
1 - 2
DUR
65%
18%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
THI
3 - 2
SEC
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |