Ingolstadt 04 vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CZJ
2 - 0
ING
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
ING
2 - 2
UNT
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SSV
0 - 2
ING
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
OFC
0 - 1
ING
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ING
4 - 1
WER
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
SGD
2 - 4
OFC
36%
28%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WER
2 - 0
SGD
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SGD
1 - 1
EBT
51%
26%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
WAC
2 - 0
SGD
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
SGD
3 - 0
HOL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |