Groningen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
59.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
RJC
0 - 0
GRO
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
WHC
0 - 1
GRO
9%
17%
73%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 1
UTR
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 0
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
GRO
2 - 0
ADO
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
BRU
56%
21%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
ACM
1 - 0
AJA
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
AJA
4 - 1
RKC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |