Erzgebirge Aue vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ERZ
0 - 0
MAG
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FCU
1 - 0
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 0
S04
11%
19%
70%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AUE
1 - 1
ERZ
8%
15%
77%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
0 - 2
ERZ
6%
14%
80%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 2
M05
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
M05
0 - 0
ATH
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 0
M05
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
M05
1 - 1
WHU
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
KOL
5 - 3
M05
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |