Erzgebirge Aue vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
RTV
2 - 0
ERZ
50%
24%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
HSV
3 - 0
ERZ
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ERZ
2 - 1
HEI
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
WUR
0 - 3
ERZ
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 3
SGF
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
WUR
0 - 2
HOL
27%
24%
50%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HOL
2 - 1
F95
26%
23%
51%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
EBT
0 - 0
HOL
30%
23%
47%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 0
PAD
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |