Ario vs Damash Gilan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+154%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
FAJ
1 - 1
FCA
54%
27%
19%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 1
MSV
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
FCA
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SMK
2 - 0
FCA
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
SAI
25%
27%
49%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Damash Gilan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
DAM
0 - 0
CHA
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
DAM
49%
28%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
DAM
0 - 1
AKF
16%
28%
56%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
DAM
2 - 1
MSB
30%
32%
38%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SBA
2 - 0
DAM
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |